Always Low Common Denominators
David Weigel | August 17, 2006, 1:39pm
At the New York Times, Adam Nagourney and Michael Barbaro report on the Democrats' efforts to speed up the Howleyfication of Wal-Mart.
Across Iowa this week and across much of the country this month, Democratic leaders have found a new rallying cry that many of them say could prove powerful in the midterm elections and into 2008: denouncing Wal-Mart for what they say are substandard wages and health care benefits.
Six Democratic presidential contenders have appeared at rallies like the one Mr. Biden headlined, along with some Democratic candidates for Congress in some of the toughest-fought races in the country.
"My problem with Wal-Mart is that I don't see any indication that they care about the fate of middle-class people," Mr. Biden said, standing on the sweltering rooftop of the State Historical Society building here. "They talk about paying them $10 an hour. That's true. How can you live a middle-class life on that?"
Definitely take some time to soak in that glorious picture of my main man Joseph Robinette Biden, Jr. I get the sense Democrats are using Wal-Mart, like the minimum wage increase, as a populist wedge issue to combat Republicans now that prescription drug coverage is off the table. They score bonus points because charging a corporation with pitchforks cuts a more aggressive, manly image, than the old trick of bussing grannies and Shriners to Canada to lard up on Procardia.
Evan! | August 17, 2006, 3:50pm | #
Lamar, assuming you're not just a troll:
"Talking points? Is that how you turkeys argue, in lieu of counterpoint, you say "talking points" and that means you win?"
Why should people offer "counterpoints" when your original points were unsubstantiated kneejerk accusations?
"Well, duhh, sure, MY points were empty shite, but how come your response wasn't meaningful?" Ugh.
"Silly me, I thought you turkeys knew about the topic before getting lathered up. How about the 1995 Iowa study that showed that out of 7000 business closings, most were supermarkets, hardware stores, and pharmacies?"
A) 1995? Anything more recent?
B) So, all that means is that people are getting their hardware, drugs and foodstuffs for less money. If you disagree with that, then your position is: 'people should be forced to spend more money for necessities so that I can keep my Main Street USA!', which is a pretty shallow, empty, pompous assholish position if you ask me. Believe me, asshole, if you were subsisting on lower-class wages, and some pompous bitch came to your door and forced you to pay more money for the things you use every day just so that he could preserve some ephemeral sense of "Main Street USA", you'd be none too happy.
"How about Orlando, FL, where there aren't many locally owned stores outside of the service sector? I don't have statistics, that town going to hell is anectdotal and subjective."
So, um, you think Orlando is going to hell. Thus, WalMart is evil.
Look, Lamar, if people really cared more about "Main Street USA" and preserving locally-owned business more than they care about saving money on shampoo, then they simply wouldn't shop there. It's that simple. But alot of people can hardly afford to shop at Mom-N-Pop's grocery store. What do you say to them, Lamar?
"How about the study that shows how locally owned businesses spend 1/2 of their income locally, whereas Walmart spends around 15% locally? You would concede that such a statistic could represent "sucking a city dry"?
Why would one concede such a point? Is the location where money is spent really the heart of a city? Regardless, even if one were to concede said point, it would still not be enough to convince me that it's a good idea to force poor folks pay more money for the things they use every day, thus further lowering their standard of living.
You nitwits are just like the fools who constantly pine on about "affordable housing" for the poor, but then they turn around and block any attempt at said affordable housing when it negatively affects their closely cherished "main street USA" or "neighborhood feel", or lowers their property values, or contributes to urban sprawl. It's called talking out of both sides of your mouth. You cry about the low wages that walmart employees get, then you turn around and demand that those same low-income people should be forced to pay more for goods in order to preserve your "main street USA" aesthetic. It's pathetic and disgusting.
"How about changing the landscape of a city? In Florida and Vermont this kind of thing matters for tourism industry reasons."
So now you're telling me that you want to force people to pay more for goods and shit on the principles of free trade upon which this country was built...so that you can prop up the tourism industry? Even better.
Lamar | August 17, 2006, 5:16pm | #
This is attempt #4, short and sweet:
Sage+P, contrary to your implication, you won't find a state-centered solution in any of my posts. In fact, medicaid and welfare are part, though not all, of the reason that Walmart can offer such low prices. That should be stopped, agreed?
Pro Liberte: as usual, pretty damn good.
Kebko: my argument is that Walmart
doesn't sell the same stuff we used to buy, it sells cheap crap, by and large.
Evan!: Show me in the free trade foundation of this country where welfare benefits prop up the payroll of major corporations. I cry about
government subsidization of Walmart's low wage strategy. And my Main Street aesthetic is just the grumpy (prematurely) old man in me.
RC Dean, some pretty good points, especially about the consumer culture, though I call it the materialist culture (which lines up with my lament about our addiction to cheap chinese crap).
Scott: the Clover Deli, on the corner of 34th street and 2nd avenue in Manhattan has been in that family for over 50 years. The son started out as a floorsweeper and ended up an owner. Do we value an ownership society? How about the floorsweeper who ends up as a semi-illiterate "manager" who makes less than a 3rd level manager at Albertson's?
sage +P | August 17, 2006, 8:27pm | #
"Unfortunately, the buying power of the middle class has been declining for a period that correlates very closely to rise of the economic phenomena that Wal Mart is such a leader in, such as the decline of unions and the rise of off-shore outsourcing."
I apologize, joe. Perhaps I was extrapolating a bit, and using a bit of anecdotal evidence to support my claim. Maybe if I can get about $5k together, I can get one of those computer thingies to help me out.
I could also go
here, select 1986 for the first year and 2006 for the last year, and see that personal income has increased from $3,659.1B to $10,812.9B, roughly a three-fold increase. I could then go
here and calculate the rate of inflation for something to compare it to. If I enter 1986 to 2004 (the most recent year available), I see an inflation rate of about 72%.
But hey, I'm no economist. Where did you get your information. Keyword searching "buying power" really doesn't return much.
"Oh, grow up. Why do you want retail workers to have less money to feed their families, Sage? Why?"
Yes, what about the children. For crying out loud joe, it's a *service* job. They don't pay much when they ain't specialized. If anything, you should be thanking Wal-Mart for providing a powerful incentive to better one's self.
"People who complain about Wal Mart lowballing the industry standard, and thereby driving down that industry standard, are not saying that Wal Mart needs to pay exhorbitant wages."
True, they are attacking an easy target. These are probably the same people who are pleased with themselves when they can hit a cow at ten feet with a scoped rifle.
grylliade | August 18, 2006, 12:05am | #
Kebko: my argument is that Walmart doesn't sell the same stuff we used to buy, it sells cheap crap, by and large.
Well, I'd rather have cheap crap than nothing at all. Consider: twenty years ago I'd have to pay for nice glasses if I wanted to have any glasses at all. Say for a set of twenty I'd pay at least forty dollars, but what I'd get would be really nice. Or I could go to Goodwill and get what I could find there, but they'd be mismatched or damaged.
Now I can go to Wal-Mart and get a set of twenty glasses for twenty dollars. I'm paying more than I would for the Goodwill glasses, but they're all matched and in new condition. Sure, they're not nearly as nice as what I'd have paid forty dollars for twenty years ago, but if I want to I can still spend more and get nicer glasses; it's not as if there's no market for luxury goods these days. Wal-Mart has made it possible for people who are lower-middle class at best to live better than they used to. Again, they're not buying the same quality of goods that they would have had to twenty years ago, but then, they'd have to pay more to do that.
Another example. I bought a 27" TV at Wal-Mart for about $200 earlier this year. It's a Sanyo, so it's not some completely off-brand piece of crap. A 27" TV at Best Buy or Circuit City would have run me at least $300, maybe more; the same for buying on-line. Sure, maybe my TV won't last as long as one I'd buy from an upmarket retailer, but I get more bang for the buck. Had it not been for Wal-Mart, I'd have had to settle for a 20" TV or so. Not a tragedy, but dammit, having a slightly nicer TV counts for something.
As for the argument that Wal-Mart pays substandard wages: Not that I can tell. Having worked in the retail industry for quite a while right out of high school, I can tell you that Wal-Mart had the best wages of any store in the area. Not that those wages were very good, mind you, but they were as good as or better than any other retail job I could've gotten at the time. Same with the benefits. The benefits Wal-Mart gives are crappy, but so are the benefits given at
any crappy entry-level unskilled job. No vacation? Expensive health insurance? Par for the course. Not much to be done about it other than education, or at least a degree. :-)
Wal-Mart creates both benefits and costs to communities in which the chain locates.
Wow. They had to do a study to determine that? Cathy Young could do that off the top of her head. :-D I mean, seriously, of all the wishy-washy, meaning-free conclusions that I've seen in studies, that one takes the cake.
MainstreamMan | August 18, 2006, 1:55am | #
The Effects of Wal-Mart on Local Labor Markets
David Neumark, Junfu Zhang, and Stephen Ciccarella* November 2005
Abstract: We estimate the effects of Wal-Mart stores on county-level employment and earnings, accounting for endogeneity of the location and timing of Wal-Mart openings that most likely biases the evidence against finding adverse effects of Wal-Mart stores. We address the endogeneity problem using a natural instrumental variable that arises from the geographic and time pattern of the opening of Wal-Mart stores, which slowly spread out from the first stores in Arkansas. In the retail sector, on average, Wal-Mart stores reduce employment by two to four percent. There is some evidence that payrolls per worker also decline, by about 3.5 percent, but this conclusion is less robust. Either way, though, retail earnings fall. Overall, there is some evidence that Wal-Mart stores increase total employment on the order of two percent, although not all of the evidence supports this conclusion. There is stronger evidence that total payrolls per person decline, by about five percent in the aggregate, implying that residents of local labor markets earn less following the opening of Wal-Mart stores. And in the South, where Wal-Mart stores are most prevalent and have been open the longest, the evidence indicates that Wal-Mart reduces retail employment, total employment, and total payrolls per person.
From the conclusions
On balance, the evidence is more consistent with the claims of Wal-Mart’s critics, although questions remain. In the retail sector, the representative Wal-Mart presence (about eight years) reduces employment by two to four percent. There is some evidence that payrolls per worker also decline, by about 3.5 percent, but this conclusion is less robust. Either way, though, retail earnings fall. Looking at total employment, some of the evidence points to employment increases, although the regional evidence for the South and perhaps the Midwest points to employment declines. At the same time, there is stronger evidence that total payrolls per worker and per person decline, by about two and five percent, respectively, implying that residents of a local labor market do indeed earn less following the opening of Wal-Mart stores. Finally, we find clear evidence of adverse effects of Wal-Mart stores on retail employment, total employment, and total payrolls per person in the South, where Wal-Mart stores are most numerous on a total and per capita basis, and where they have been open the longest. The earnings declines associated with Wal-Mart do not necessarily imply that Wal-Mart stores worsen the economic fortunes of residents of the markets that these stores enter. Wal-Mart entry may also result in lower prices that increase purchasing power, and if prices are lowered not just at Wal-Mart, but elsewhere as well, the gains to consumers may be widespread. Although this paper provides what we believe to be the best evidence to date on the effects of Wal-Mart on local labor markets, we do not address questions of changes in real earnings or purchasing power, and how these changes might vary for lower- and higher-income families. In addition, while not endorsing the findings of the studies cited in
31
the Introduction that estimate the taxpayer burden imposed by Wal-Mart (through, for example, increased use of Medicaid and Food Stamps), even if Wal-Mart lowers earnings as well as prices, the lower earnings will likely, in fact, increase this burden. Finally, as we noted earlier, we cannot with the data used in this paper pinpoint the mechanism leading to earnings declines, including factors such as changes in part-time work and shifts to less-skilled workers. There are, in short, numerous remaining questions of considerable interest regarding the effects of Wal-Mart on labor markets, consumption, and social program participation and expense. The identification strategy developed in this paper may prove helpful in estimating the effects of Wal-Mart stores on these other outcomes as well.
MainstreamMan | August 18, 2006, 5:39pm | #
"another lightweight psuedo-academic farce"
Don't let the numbers get in the way of your belief, by all means. There is plenty of evidence on both sides of the argument. Some complained that critics of Walmart had no evidence... I was just providing some. TWBA provides some others. Look at the studies and decide which ones were conducted in a careful and rigorous manner, and use the data to form your opinion. Economics claims to be the most rigorous of social sciences... but due to the intractible nature of its subject, it is in many ways the softest. If you feel sure of your conclusions about a specific force's effect on the economy along any specific parameter, you are just not being skeptical enough.
"At the same time, there is stronger evidence that total payrolls per worker and per person decline, by about two and five percent, respectively, implying that residents of a local labor market do indeed earn less following the opening of Wal-Mart stores."
Kebko,
Whether you think it is good overall, the communities of people bringing home less money, probably don't. More efficient production isn't a bad thing... but reduced money within a community is not good for that community.
""We estimate the effects of Wal-Mart stores on county-level employment and earnings, accounting for endogeneity of the location and timing of Wal-Mart openings that most likely biases the evidence against finding ADVERSE effects of Wal-Mart stores."
Gosh, imagine that, they found what they were looking for."
This would be a common approach to asking any question about a highly complex data set. You would want to control for factors that are thought to influence your outcome that you CAN explain, to see if they operate independently of the process you are asking a question about. Ignoring those factors would be the more likely approach used to get the result that you want. So if you want to prove that Walmart doesn't have an adverse impact, you would not control for those factors that you know will work against that conclusion. Controlling for these factors helps get a clearer picture of the murky truth behind the numbers... which in economics will always remain very murky. But controlling for the known factor, doesn't get you the result you want, it just allows you to assess the picture without the known factor getting in the way.
Sage +P Econ 101 is not a good model of how economies work. Neither is Econ 601. Your lack of skepticism regarding your own position is, well, endearing, cute, luvable, but hardly furthers the conversation.
Joe.
In this particular case, the same can be said of your position. You claim lots, but haven't presented any evidence for your opposition to chew on.